A few birdy snaps

On 7/11 (Q: why don't people in Quebec phone the 7-11 stores?  A: their phones don't have a button for 11!) I went to the Pumping Station to check on the Powl seen near there recently.

No joy for Powl on the 7th but I did score a nice male Satin Bowerbird ...

... and male Scarlet Honeyeater.

October 2023 Weather Report

After a small delay, sorry reader,  here is the weather report for October.  A rather variable month with slightly warm and wet as a summary.

Rain

After 4 months with very much below median rainfall October was 163% of the median fall for the month.  While most (70%) of that fall came in an event on 4-5 October there were non-trivial falls on 9 days.

The heavy fall (temporarily)arrested the decline in the pro-rata estimate of overall rain for the year but the dryness of the last two weeks has resumed the downwards trajectory.  As at the end of the month the projected fall for 2023 in total is 658mm, which would be the third lowest fall recorded.

Temperatures

The average temperature for the month was 0.46C above the long term average for October.  This metric (the anomaly).  There was a very hot start to the month after which the anomaly varied between close to zero and +1C.

The time series of values for the anomaly shows October to be a drop back to the recent range of usual values (although a 3-year series is way too short to make any definite statements).

A chart of daily extremes shows the maxima to have several spells of well above average values while the minima are closer to average (but with few significantly low values).

The 1st and 3rd were the only days with both minimum and maximum above the long term mean for the equivalent variables, so no heat waves or cold snaps.

Minimum temperatures

The average minimum temperature for the month was 0.4C above the long term October mean minimum.  On 5 days the minimum was >1SD above the monthly mean with 1 day >2SD.  There were no runs of 3+ days of significantly elevated minima.  Only 1 day was significantly below the monthly mean minimum.

Maximum temperatures

The average maxmimum temperature for the month was 0.5C above the long term October mean maximum.  On 7 days the maximum was >1SD above the monthly mean with 1 day >2SD.  There were no runs of 3+ days of significantly elevated maxima.  Only 1 day was significantly below the monthly mean minimum.

Humidity

The daily readings for humidity at the standard times of 0900 and 1500 show the month to be somewhat muggier than I would expect, with few 1500 readings below 50%.  However, for both values the monthly average is below average (for the 5 years for which I have data).

The only really interesting feature in the chart is 12 October with a very high 0900 reading followed by a very low 1500 reading.  This matches very closely with BoM data for the Airport which also shows a shift in the wind from North (=dry) at 0900 to SSW (= moist) at 1500.

Wind

My gut feeling was that it was a pretty windy month and the data, fortunately, backs that up.  The next chart shows the daily average hourly run for 2023 and the average of the previous 4 Octobers  It is clear that this year had longer runs on many days.

The longest run (326k, on the 21st) is the 5th longest October run (of 151 records).

Seawatch at Bastion Point

 On 16 October the weather in the afternoon was rather foul and those who turned up to croquet decided not to play.  However, looking over to Bastion Point I noticed a good sized flock of Gannets close inshore so went home and got my camera and telescope.  It was spectacular, with hundreds of Gannets and an uncountable number of shearwaters.  When I first looked the Gannets were fishing, but on return they were mainly passing by.

If anyone can identify Shearwaters other than Short-tailed I'd be pleased to hear about it.

The next three images give an idea of the number of Shearwaters.

The main flock of Gannets was quite a distance out and tended to come through in pulses.

Distances can be deceiving.  The Gull is much smaller than the Gannet but was much closer in.

A Gannet and 2 Crested Terns.

2 Crested Terns.

I also kept my eyes on the rocks so spotted this Eastern Reef Egret.

 

Recent sightings

 This post covers my images of sightings on a plant walk along the power lines (sort of) organised through U3A Mallacoota and a few other interesting sightings on 11 and 12 October.  

The first image is Burchardia umbellata (Milkmaids).  Very common over the slashed area.  One of the participants asked about the pollinators of plants: note the ant on the lowest flower on the rhs.  Ants are very important in this role. 

The commonest Sun-Orchid seen was Thelymitra ixiodes (Spotted Sun-Orchid)

This is a really crappy image but a pollinating fly is visible in a fuzzy way.  (Some other genera of orchids are pollinated by wasps, using mimicry and pheromones to achieve this purpose.

Just about the time we turned a Thelymitra rubra (Salmon Sun-Orchid) was found.

Quite a few of the Xanthorrhoea resinosa (Grass trees) had flower spikes.  The area was slashed a few weeks ago, so the vegetative growth has come since then and we speculated whether the rain from a week ago stimulated the emergence of the spikes.

A Lily, without a common name (at least, one is not shown in Flora of Victoria), Thelionema umbellatum.

This is a Heath Rhytidosporum procumbens (White Marianth).  The first, fuzzy, image shows the structure of the flower ...

... while the second shows the leaves and a fruit.

Definitely a Pea and I believe it to be Dillwynnia glaberima (Smooth Parrot-pea).

A moth: iNaturalist has been consulted.

iNaturalist has also been consulted about this - to my mind, unusual - frogspawn.  The bubbles are 25-50mm in diameter and it looks to me as though the eggs have hatched into very small tadpoles.

Moving on to other sightings.  I went to Mullet Creek in search of Cuckoos but no luck for them.  I did better with Black-faced Monarch.  This image hints at the wing-fluttering display posture.

A male Common Bronzewing (note cream forehead).

A female Common Bronzewing (note grey forehead).

On the 12th we were surprised - and excited - to see 6 Sharp-tailed Sandpipers at the Broome St Lagoon on our morning walk.  I returned with my camera to get some snaps.

2 Little Egrets were mixed in with the Royal Spoonbills.

Both visible here: one carrying on like a pork chop, diagnostic of the species.

Just a nice shot of a landing Spoonbill.

This one is to show a discoloured Royal Spoonbill.  Usually they are always white, unlike Yellow-billed Spoonbills or Australian White Ibis (where the dirty colour is explained by the vernacular name "Bin Chook")

After all that good stuff I took myself to check on the Beach Stone Curlew.  It was still there, and very easy to see (and photograph) looking down from site 344 in the Caravan Park.

September 2023 Weather Report

 In summary very hot and very dry.  Which will come as no news to anyone who has visited the area in the last month.

Rain

We managed 19.6 mm this month of which 9mm came on the 1st!

This is the 4th month in a row of miserable rainfall.  The ranking over the past 4 months has been June, 4th lowest; July, lowest; August, 2nd lowest; September, 4th lowest. The total over those 4 months - 67.4mm - is the lowest total for 4 consecutive months on record for the area.  The second lowest, 83.2mm, was November 2002 to February 2003.

My prorata estimate of the possible annual fall for 2023 has been in free fall since early May and is currently at 601mm.  (The lowest annual total is 545mm in 2019.)

Temperatures

In discussing temperatures the phrase "Global Warming" often raises itself, particularly with a month like this.  My view is that my data set, which only relates to a single site (albeit with some data 'borrowed' from a nearby site) and for a relatively short period (31 years for most months), cannot say anything about the global situation.  So I won't, other to note I am not likely to argue with expert climatologists.

The difference between the monthly average temperature and the long term mean temperature for September was +1.83C.  The development of this anomaly shows the impact of the very hot spell in the third week of the month.

The companion chart shows the daily minima and maxima in comparison with the long term means of those values.

Minimum temperatures

The average minimum temperature was 9.66C, 1.27C above the long term mean.  The minimum temperature was above the mean for the date on 20 of 30 days.  On 11 days the minimum was more than 1 SD above the mean for the month and on 2 days was more than 2 SD above the monthly mean.  The highest minimum for a calendar day was 14.3C on the 18th and 19th.  (The highest minimum recorded by BoM with the stupid 0900 reset was 15.2C on the 20th.)  In contrast, on the 23rd the minimum (4.3C) was >1SD below the mean!

Somewhat surprisingly the maximin of 14.3C is only =20th high minimum for September: the record is 16.7C on 3/9/2021.  Again surprisingly the average minimum of 9.66 is only the 4th warmest recorded for the area.

Maximum temperatures

The average maximum temperature was 20.70C, 2.33C above the long term mean.  The maximum temperature was above the mean for the date on 20 of 30 days.  On 10 days the minimum was more than 1 SD above the mean for the month and on 6 days was more than 2 SD above the monthly mean.  The highest maximum for a calendar day was 34.5C on the 19th.  (The highest maximum recorded by BoM - unaffected by the stupid 0900 reset - was 34.7C on the 20th: the closeness of these readings can be attributed to the Northerly winds on that day affecting both sites equally.)  In contrast, again on the 23rd the minimum (15.1C) was >1SD below the mean!

In compiling averages I noticed that the average maximum for September was the highest on record, as was the value for July (August was 4th highest)  Looking at the average across the three months as a single set 2023 was the warmest (av. max. 18.38C) by 0.29C above 2013.

Heat waves and related matters.

My working definition of a heat wave is "3 consecutive days with both maximum and minimum temperatures are more than 1 SD above the long term mean."  This is a bit more precise than the BoM definition "A period of abnormally hot weather lasting several days" and I have started a note about whether my definition needs to be loosen a bit: I have no idea when, let alone how, that will end up!

The need to contemplate change arose as a result of the period 14 - 20 September this year.  For each of those 7 days the maximum and minimum were both above the average maximum for the day.  However: on the 16th and the 20th the minimum was less than 1 SD above and on the 18th the maximum was less than 1 SD above.   So there was not a heat wave as I have defined it in the past.

My inclination is to keep "Heat Wave" as is and to define a "Hot Spell" as 3 or more consecutive days in which both maximum and minimum temperatures are above average for the days and at least 2 readings are more than 1SD above the monthly mean for the variable.  On that basis, for September 2023 we have a 7-day hot spell for the period listed above.  Two other periods come close to being Hot Spells:

• 4th - 8th: of 10 readings, 9 were above average (2 >1SD).  However the minimum of the 6th was below average for the date so not a Hot Spell.
• 25th to 28th: of the 8 readings 6 are above average and all 4 minima are >1SD above, with the maximum on the 25th >2SD above.  However the maxima on 26th and 27th were below average for the date so not a Hot Spell.

Once I have finalised my ideas it will be possible to apply similar thinking to below average readings 

for Cold Snaps (≡ Heat Wave) and Cold Spell (≡ Hot Spell).

Humidity

An interesting month.

The striking features were the two periods of very low rH.  Of 38 readings below 25% rH (out of a total of 40,361 readings) 16 are in this month: most others are in October - December.  I have expanded the readings for the last 2 days in this chart. 

Wind

The month was windier that other recent months, as would be expected for September.  The longest run (201km on the 5th) is 140th out of 1600 records.